PREDICTIVE TECHNOLOGIES IN BRAZILIAN POLICE INTELLIGENCE: STRATEGIC POTENTIAL, INSTITUTIONAL CONSTRAINTS AND CONSTITUTIONAL LIMITS

Abstract

This article analyzes the possibilities and limits of the use of predictive technologies in Brazilian police intelligence, particularly in combating organized crime. It is grounded in the understanding that intelligence activity constitutes a strategic instrument to support state decision-making, whose effectiveness depends on institutional integration, professional qualification, and compliance with existing legal frameworks. The study examines the technological evolution applied to knowledge production in public security, discusses the operational potential of predictive actions, and investigates the constitutional and legal constraints that govern the large-scale processing of data by the State. A qualitative approach was adopted, based on bibliographic review and documentary analysis of legislation, decisions of the Federal Supreme Court, and recent studies on police intelligence. The findings indicate that the incorporation of predictive technologies may enhance the State’s capacity for anticipation and strategic planning, provided that their implementation is conditioned upon clear normative parameters, institutional oversight mechanisms, and strict respect for the guarantees inherent to the Democratic Rule of Law.